Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (28.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -27 (97-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 27 | 8-19 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 24 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 23 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 20 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 20 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Seth Curry | 16 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 8 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Antonius Cleveland | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 34 | 5-17 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Omari Spellman * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 28 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 25 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter