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2020-01-15

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +5.0 (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 27.6% 72.4% -
Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.7% 94.3% -
Log Adjusted 5.7% 94.3% -
Points Off/Def 13.4% 86.6% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +26 (128-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 31 6-15 5-7 5-6 8 3 1 1 22 20 -
Julius Randle * 26 10-20 3-6 2-2 15 3 0 0 25 23 -
Reggie Bullock * 23 0-8 0-4 3-3 1 1 1 0 3 -2 -
Elfrid Payton * 19 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 4 -
Taj Gibson * 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -
Bobby Portis 27 8-14 1-4 3-4 8 1 1 0 20 16 -
Kadeem Allen 24 3-9 0-3 3-4 3 6 1 1 9 11 -
Kevin Knox II 23 3-7 2-4 2-3 4 2 0 0 10 9 -
Mitchell Robinson 18 3-5 0-0 1-4 3 0 2 1 7 8 -
Wayne Ellington 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 2 -
Allonzo Trier 9 1-7 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 -1 -
Damyean Dotson 7 0-7 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 -5 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wesley Matthews * 26 2-9 1-3 1-2 5 2 1 0 6 5 -
Brook Lopez * 22 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 3 1 2 7 12 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 21 12-17 3-5 10-12 9 4 0 1 37 34 -
Eric Bledsoe * 21 3-9 2-4 3-4 6 3 0 0 11 11 -
Khris Middleton * 20 6-9 1-2 4-4 3 3 1 0 17 15 -
Kyle Korver 21 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 5 -
Dragan Bender 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 1 0 7 -
Pat Connaughton 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 6 -
Ersan Ilyasova 16 6-10 2-4 0-0 7 1 1 1 14 14 -
Donte DiVincenzo 16 4-8 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 2 9 10 -
Sterling Brown 12 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 7 4 -
George Hill 11 2-4 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 6 5 -
D.J. Wilson 9 1-4 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter