Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (121-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 39 | 13-37 | 5-19 | 10-11 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 38 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 38 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 31 | 9-19 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 36 | 10-11 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 8-17 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 27 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 23 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter