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2020-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 60.5% 39.5% -
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% -
Margin 59.8% 40.2% -2.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Log Adjusted 68.0% 32.0% -
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +13 (123-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 37 4-16 0-5 3-6 3 1 0 1 11 0 -
Devin Booker * 34 12-23 2-4 13-13 7 3 2 0 39 28 -
Elie Okobo * 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 -
Dario Saric * 18 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 4 4 -
Aron Baynes * 14 1-4 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 1 4 8 -
Mikal Bridges 32 6-8 0-2 3-4 3 4 4 1 15 19 -
Deandre Ayton 32 10-14 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 2 20 19 -
Cameron Johnson 25 3-4 2-3 1-1 6 3 1 1 9 16 -
Tyler Johnson 14 1-7 0-2 2-4 1 0 1 0 4 -1 -
Jevon Carter 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
Ty Jerome 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cheick Diallo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 38 8-14 4-5 3-4 15 8 1 0 23 33 -
Trae Young * 37 11-25 5-12 9-11 4 10 2 1 36 28 -
John Collins * 29 10-16 2-5 0-0 10 0 0 3 22 19 -
De'Andre Hunter * 24 6-12 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 15 6 -
Cam Reddish * 23 1-5 0-1 2-2 0 2 0 0 4 1 -
Damian Jones 26 5-7 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 1 11 13 -
DeAndre' Bembry 22 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
Allen Crabbe 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 5 -
Brandon Goodwin 12 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
Vince Carter 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter