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2020-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 58.7% 41.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.3% 60.7% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% -
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% -
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (112-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 36 6-16 1-6 12-12 0 6 1 0 25 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 9-23 2-6 6-6 15 2 0 3 26 - -
Markelle Fultz * 31 7-11 1-1 1-3 4 2 0 0 16 - -
Aaron Gordon * 29 8-16 1-3 2-4 9 2 0 1 19 - -
Khem Birch * 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Terrence Ross 27 1-4 1-3 3-3 6 1 4 0 6 - -
D.J. Augustin 24 2-7 1-5 1-1 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Wes Iwundu 18 3-7 2-3 0-1 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Mo Bamba 11 2-5 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 4 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 37 7-13 2-6 0-0 4 5 3 0 16 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 37 12-18 2-3 5-5 8 10 1 1 31 - -
Harrison Barnes * 36 2-8 0-2 1-1 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 33 13-16 8-10 0-0 7 2 2 0 34 - -
Harry Giles III * 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 4 - -
Trevor Ariza 28 1-6 0-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Marvin Bagley III 23 8-17 0-2 2-3 6 0 0 2 18 - -
Cory Joseph 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 4 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Justin James 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter