Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (112-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Fournier * | 36 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 12-12 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 36 | 9-23 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 23 | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - | |
| Khem Birch * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 37 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 12-18 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 33 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 33 | 13-16 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 29 | - | |
| Harry Giles III * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 28 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 23 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Justin James | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter