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2020-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% -
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% -
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% -
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (115-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 38 8-18 4-8 5-6 7 3 0 0 25 - -
Devonte' Graham * 36 9-17 8-13 1-1 3 10 1 0 27 - -
P.J. Washington * 32 6-15 3-6 5-5 11 3 2 2 20 - -
Cody Zeller * 22 3-7 0-1 0-1 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Miles Bridges * 18 0-7 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Nicolas Batum 30 4-5 1-2 0-0 7 3 2 0 9 - -
Dwayne Bacon 21 2-7 1-2 1-1 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Willy Hernangomez 16 7-8 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 14 - -
Marvin Williams 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Malik Monk 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 36 11-22 5-8 0-0 4 4 0 1 27 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 36 7-13 1-4 2-2 6 8 1 0 17 - -
Damian Lillard * 35 10-16 5-10 5-7 3 9 0 0 30 - -
Kent Bazemore * 30 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 2 3 1 5 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 24 2-6 0-1 3-4 11 0 0 3 7 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 21 1-6 1-4 2-2 6 2 0 0 5 - -
Anthony Tolliver 21 7-8 2-3 0-1 11 1 0 0 16 - -
Anfernee Simons 20 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Jaylen Hoard 9 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Nassir Little 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter