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2020-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% -
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% -
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 14.1% 85.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Log Adjusted 17.3% 82.7% -
Points Off/Def 23.8% 76.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (113-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 34 9-18 3-6 9-9 5 2 1 0 30 - -
Kris Dunn * 30 3-7 1-2 2-3 5 1 0 0 9 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 25 4-9 0-3 1-2 6 0 2 0 9 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 25 3-8 0-1 6-8 1 7 1 0 12 - -
Daniel Gafford * 20 4-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 2 10 - -
Thaddeus Young 24 8-14 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 17 - -
Coby White 23 3-8 0-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 - -
Chandler Hutchison 14 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Shaquille Harrison 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Cristiano Felicio 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 2 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 30 4-11 0-1 0-0 6 8 0 0 8 - -
Jaylen Brown * 30 5-13 0-1 9-9 3 3 2 0 19 - -
Jayson Tatum * 29 7-17 2-7 5-7 6 2 1 2 21 - -
Kemba Walker * 27 5-9 3-6 1-2 4 2 0 2 14 - -
Enes Kanter * 26 7-9 0-0 1-1 9 0 1 1 15 - -
Marcus Smart 33 4-8 2-5 2-2 5 8 3 0 12 - -
Brad Wanamaker 24 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Grant Williams 16 4-8 1-2 2-2 5 3 0 1 11 - -
Semi Ojeleye 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Vincent Poirier 5 0-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Javonte Green 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter