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2020-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 66.8% 33.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (101-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 40 10-17 0-0 4-4 14 3 1 0 24 25 -
Tobias Harris * 39 7-16 1-5 0-2 11 3 1 0 15 14 -
Al Horford * 35 5-11 0-3 0-0 8 5 0 2 10 14 -
Josh Richardson * 35 8-19 1-8 6-7 4 3 0 0 23 11 -
Mike Scott * 18 1-6 1-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 5 4 -
Matisse Thybulle 27 2-8 1-5 1-2 5 1 2 1 6 7 -
Furkan Korkmaz 23 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 3 -
Norvel Pelle 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 3 -
Trey Burke 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Raul Neto 3 2-2 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 7 5 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 37 8-13 0-2 5-7 1 2 2 2 21 15 -
Myles Turner * 33 4-10 1-3 5-6 10 1 0 3 14 18 -
Malcolm Brogdon * 33 5-15 3-6 8-9 7 9 1 0 21 23 -
Domantas Sabonis * 32 3-12 0-1 4-6 16 3 0 0 10 17 -
Jeremy Lamb * 22 2-8 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 3 -
Justin Holiday 27 5-10 4-6 0-0 3 0 0 1 14 8 -
Aaron Holiday 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 3 7 -
T.J. McConnell 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 4 4 -
Doug McDermott 13 2-8 1-2 3-3 4 0 0 0 8 4 -
Goga Bitadze 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter