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2020-01-14

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 9.9% 90.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% - ✗
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 ✗ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% - ✓
Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -7 (110-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 45 7-23 3-9 0-2 12 9 3 0 17 - -
Nicolo Melli * 37 7-11 2-4 4-4 3 2 2 0 20 - -
E'Twaun Moore * 36 6-19 1-3 3-4 7 3 0 0 16 - -
Josh Hart * 35 3-8 3-5 2-2 6 2 0 1 11 - -
Jahlil Okafor * 33 11-21 0-0 3-3 14 5 0 3 25 - -
Frank Jackson 31 5-13 0-4 3-3 8 1 1 0 13 - -
Jaxson Hayes 18 2-3 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 14 1-4 0-1 3-3 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Zylan Cheatham 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sekou Doumbouya * 34 6-9 2-4 2-2 8 1 1 1 16 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 34 4-8 3-6 2-2 2 4 2 0 13 - -
Tony Snell * 28 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond * 22 5-14 0-0 1-4 10 2 3 2 11 - -
Bruce Brown * 20 5-9 1-2 1-2 3 5 1 1 12 - -
Derrick Rose 36 10-23 0-3 3-4 4 8 0 1 23 - -
Langston Galloway 31 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Christian Wood 25 5-11 2-3 6-6 9 1 2 3 18 - -
Markieff Morris 18 2-12 1-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Jordan Bone 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -
Thon Maker 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter