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2020-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% -
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% -
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -
Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (100-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 36 7-18 4-13 4-5 1 8 3 1 22 - -
Miles Bridges * 32 7-13 0-4 0-0 5 5 2 1 14 - -
Terry Rozier * 28 1-10 0-5 3-3 2 2 1 0 5 - -
P.J. Washington * 23 1-6 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 18 1-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 1 3 - -
Nicolas Batum 32 1-5 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 - -
Dwayne Bacon 31 10-15 2-5 2-4 5 2 1 0 24 - -
Cody Zeller 29 7-11 0-1 1-2 8 5 1 0 15 - -
Malik Monk 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 40 10-19 2-6 3-4 15 1 4 2 25 - -
Devin Booker * 37 3-12 1-6 5-6 4 9 1 1 12 - -
Ricky Rubio * 34 4-11 2-2 0-0 4 9 0 0 10 - -
Dario Saric * 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 5 - -
Aron Baynes * 21 4-7 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 1 8 - -
Mikal Bridges 26 4-6 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Deandre Ayton 26 9-15 0-0 0-2 9 0 2 1 18 - -
Elie Okobo 13 3-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Tyler Johnson 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Cameron Johnson 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter