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2020-01-13

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% -
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% -
Points Off/Def 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (114-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 35 12-25 2-7 4-4 5 4 3 0 30 - -
Lou Williams * 34 8-17 3-8 7-9 4 4 1 0 26 - -
Patrick Beverley * 28 3-7 3-4 0-0 6 7 1 0 9 - -
Ivica Zubac * 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 6 - -
Patrick Patterson * 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 29 9-13 0-1 7-9 8 0 1 2 25 - -
Landry Shamet 24 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -
Maurice Harkless 21 2-3 0-1 2-4 1 0 2 0 6 - -
JaMychal Green 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Rodney McGruder 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 - -
Jerome Robinson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Derrick Walton Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Terance Mann 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 37 4-12 1-3 10-11 4 2 0 0 19 - -
Jerami Grant * 32 2-6 0-2 7-12 2 2 1 2 11 - -
Nikola Jokic * 31 6-14 3-4 5-6 15 6 1 0 20 - -
Will Barton * 31 2-9 1-4 1-2 5 2 1 1 6 - -
Gary Harris * 24 5-9 2-5 3-3 3 2 3 0 15 - -
Torrey Craig 27 4-6 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 11 - -
Michael Porter Jr. 19 6-8 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 13 - -
Monte Morris 18 5-9 2-4 0-0 0 6 0 0 12 - -
Mason Plumlee 16 3-4 0-0 1-1 6 4 0 0 7 - -
Vlatko Cancar 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter