Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +20 (122-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 34 | 12-24 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 21 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 27 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Omari Spellman * | 26 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 27 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 17 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 28 | 13-17 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 37 | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 27 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 15 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Marko Guduric | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter