Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (104-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 20 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 27 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 26 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 20 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 5-15 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 32 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 31 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Patrick McCaw | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 18 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 12 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter