Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Knicks +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 31 | 9-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 21 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 20 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 39 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 32 | 10-22 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 28 | 6-16 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 19 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kadeem Allen | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damyean Dotson | 7 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter