Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.4% | 29.6% | -4.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -21 (101-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 28 | 11-17 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 28 | 13-23 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 27 | 11-20 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 18 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 34 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 32 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Hoard | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter