Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -8 (103-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 37 | 8-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 36 | 7-18 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 35 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 34 | 9-18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 24 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ante Zizic | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 38 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 23 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter