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2020-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 49.0% 51.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% - ✓
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 ✓ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - ✓
Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - ✓

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +18 (109-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 36 5-11 0-0 1-1 5 11 4 0 11 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 9-22 2-7 0-0 10 1 0 0 20 - -
Josh Richardson * 34 6-14 2-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 16 - -
Al Horford * 32 6-16 3-9 1-2 6 5 2 1 16 - -
Mike Scott * 23 3-9 1-5 2-2 6 0 1 1 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle 19 0-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 1 2 - -
Norvel Pelle 15 2-4 0-0 0-2 6 0 1 1 4 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
James Ennis III 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 - -
Trey Burke 10 3-6 1-3 0-1 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Shake Milton 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Raul Neto 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Powell * 34 8-11 0-3 3-6 12 1 1 0 19 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 32 7-10 2-5 0-0 6 1 0 1 16 - -
Luka Doncic * 32 4-15 1-3 10-12 8 12 0 0 19 - -
Maxi Kleber * 30 3-5 3-4 1-2 8 1 1 3 10 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 30 5-11 2-2 0-2 9 1 0 1 12 - -
Delon Wright 22 3-8 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 1 6 - -
Seth Curry 20 2-6 1-4 1-1 2 3 0 1 6 - -
Justin Jackson 16 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Jalen Brunson 9 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Boban Marjanovic 8 5-6 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Antonius Cleveland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter