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2020-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.6% 37.4% -
Log Adjusted 62.6% 37.4% -
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -15 (110-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 39 15-24 4-6 2-4 7 0 0 0 36 - -
Rajon Rondo * 32 10-22 1-6 0-0 12 8 1 0 21 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 4-6 2-4 1-1 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Avery Bradley * 25 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
JaVale McGee * 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 6 - -
Dwight Howard 26 4-8 0-0 4-4 14 3 0 2 12 - -
Troy Daniels 21 5-11 2-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 12 - -
Quinn Cook 18 5-10 2-4 1-1 1 3 1 0 13 - -
Alex Caruso 16 4-8 3-4 0-0 1 2 0 1 11 - -
Jared Dudley 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 34 8-17 1-4 7-7 8 0 1 1 24 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 31 8-17 4-9 4-4 2 3 0 0 24 - -
Chris Paul * 31 7-13 1-5 1-2 5 8 1 0 16 - -
Steven Adams * 29 6-10 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 1 12 - -
Terrance Ferguson * 23 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 - -
Dennis Schroder 33 5-15 1-6 2-2 4 4 1 0 13 - -
Hamidou Diallo 14 0-5 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -
Abdel Nader 14 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Mike Muscala 11 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 - -
Darius Bazley 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 - -
Justin Patton 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Deonte Burton 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter