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2020-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% -
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (99-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 35 8-21 1-9 8-8 4 6 1 2 25 - -
Kris Dunn * 32 4-9 1-4 0-0 6 2 2 0 9 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 28 6-11 2-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 14 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 26 4-6 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 10 - -
Daniel Gafford * 22 7-9 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 14 - -
Luke Kornet 25 6-13 3-9 0-0 6 1 2 2 15 - -
Coby White 20 3-8 1-4 1-2 3 4 1 0 8 - -
Thaddeus Young 19 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 17 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 3 2 0 6 - -
Chandler Hutchison 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Brown * 34 2-7 0-1 3-4 7 2 1 0 7 - -
Tony Snell * 30 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 8 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 28 4-10 1-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 27 4-11 2-8 0-0 6 2 1 0 10 - -
Andre Drummond * 19 3-5 1-1 2-6 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Derrick Rose 29 7-11 2-3 4-4 2 7 0 0 20 - -
Christian Wood 26 8-12 0-0 1-2 14 3 1 3 17 - -
Langston Galloway 19 1-4 1-4 0-1 0 3 0 0 3 - -
Markieff Morris 13 0-7 0-3 3-4 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Thon Maker 10 4-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 10 - -

* = starter