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2020-01-12

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +9.9 (25.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% -
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% -
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +35 (140-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 33 3-12 1-8 0-0 9 2 0 0 7 - -
Lonzo Ball * 33 4-12 2-7 0-0 13 10 0 1 10 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 4-15 3-8 5-6 3 5 1 1 16 - -
E'Twaun Moore * 27 4-12 2-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 26 9-13 0-0 2-5 2 1 0 2 20 - -
Frank Jackson 32 9-18 4-10 0-2 0 2 0 1 22 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 22 2-10 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 - -
Nicolo Melli 19 2-4 1-1 2-2 5 2 2 0 7 - -
Jahlil Okafor 13 3-4 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 1 8 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 30 16-22 6-9 3-3 6 4 3 0 41 - -
Jaylen Brown * 30 4-15 2-4 3-4 0 2 3 0 13 - -
Gordon Hayward * 28 8-11 2-2 1-1 5 3 1 1 19 - -
Kemba Walker * 28 6-12 2-7 3-4 5 7 1 0 17 - -
Daniel Theis * 14 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 2 1 6 - -
Enes Kanter 23 10-13 0-0 2-2 19 1 0 0 22 - -
Marcus Smart 21 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 6 0 0 4 - -
Brad Wanamaker 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 4 - -
Grant Williams 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Javonte Green 12 2-3 1-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 7 - -
Carsen Edwards 9 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter