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2020-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 55.7% 44.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 49.8% 50.2% +0.1 (29.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% -
Efficiency 19.0% 81.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% -
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +30 (139-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Culver * 33 6-14 3-6 0-0 8 5 0 0 15 - -
Robert Covington * 26 4-10 1-4 2-5 7 2 6 2 11 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 24 3-13 1-7 4-4 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Shabazz Napier * 20 1-7 0-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 18 5-7 4-5 0-0 6 3 1 0 14 - -
Josh Okogie 30 5-11 2-7 4-5 5 5 4 1 16 - -
Jeff Teague 21 2-9 0-3 1-2 2 4 0 0 5 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 19 2-5 1-3 6-8 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Naz Reid 17 5-14 1-8 3-4 2 1 0 1 14 - -
Treveon Graham 13 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Jordan Bell 7 1-1 0-0 1-4 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Noah Vonleh 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 32 10-23 1-5 9-10 6 10 2 0 30 - -
James Harden * 27 8-17 6-11 10-13 12 8 2 0 32 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 26 8-9 0-0 1-2 15 1 2 5 17 - -
Ben McLemore * 22 6-8 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 13 - -
P.J. Tucker * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Danuel House Jr. 31 3-4 2-3 1-2 7 1 1 0 9 - -
Eric Gordon 26 6-17 5-13 0-0 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Austin Rivers 25 3-7 0-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Tyson Chandler 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 14 3-3 3-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Chris Clemons 7 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Michael Frazier 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter