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2020-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 28.0% 72.0% -
Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% -
Log Adjusted 11.2% 88.8% -
Points Off/Def 18.4% 81.6% -

Actual: LA Clippers +9 (109-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Glenn Robinson III * 33 7-12 1-4 2-2 3 4 2 0 17 14 -
Draymond Green * 31 3-9 1-6 1-2 6 4 1 1 8 11 -
Damion Lee * 30 4-13 0-5 2-3 6 5 1 0 10 9 -
Omari Spellman * 27 6-12 4-8 1-1 5 3 3 0 17 16 -
Ky Bowman * 18 1-4 0-2 0-2 1 3 1 0 2 3 -
Alec Burks 31 3-17 1-7 9-9 8 5 0 0 16 12 -
Eric Paschall 18 5-10 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 12 8 -
Willie Cauley-Stein 16 2-3 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 4 9 -
Jordan Poole 15 2-7 1-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 0 -
Jacob Evans 11 3-8 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 7 3 -
Alen Smailagic 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 37 14-25 2-7 6-8 9 5 3 1 36 29 -
Patrick Beverley * 35 3-9 3-9 3-4 11 9 0 3 12 26 -
Landry Shamet * 25 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 -
Maurice Harkless * 21 4-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 9 9 -
Ivica Zubac * 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 4 9 -
Montrezl Harrell 30 5-9 0-0 1-4 10 3 0 1 11 16 -
Lou Williams 30 6-12 3-6 6-6 2 8 0 1 21 20 -
JaMychal Green 24 3-8 0-5 0-0 7 0 0 1 6 6 -
Rodney McGruder 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 2 -
Jerome Robinson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Patrick Patterson 2 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Terance Mann 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter