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2020-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.3 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% -
Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% -
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% -
Points Off/Def 69.6% 30.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -21 (106-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Bledsoe * 30 10-17 1-5 3-3 4 5 1 1 24 18 -
Khris Middleton * 28 9-12 1-2 8-11 11 4 2 0 27 32 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 28 4-9 1-2 4-8 10 5 1 0 13 20 -
Wesley Matthews * 20 1-7 0-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 -2 -
Brook Lopez * 19 4-10 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 1 8 1 -
Pat Connaughton 24 2-7 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 2 -
Donte DiVincenzo 23 7-13 4-6 0-0 3 1 3 0 18 12 -
George Hill 22 3-5 1-2 2-2 3 6 3 0 9 16 -
Sterling Brown 18 3-7 2-3 3-3 12 3 1 1 11 21 -
Robin Lopez 9 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Kyle Korver 8 0-2 0-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -
D.J. Wilson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nemanja Bjelica * 39 5-11 2-5 0-0 13 4 0 1 12 19 -
De'Aaron Fox * 38 9-21 1-4 0-0 9 10 4 2 19 23 -
Harrison Barnes * 36 8-13 2-5 1-2 1 3 1 0 19 11 -
Buddy Hield * 34 7-16 2-7 0-0 5 4 0 0 16 9 -
Harry Giles III * 15 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 10 7 -
Trevor Ariza 32 4-8 2-6 1-2 9 3 3 0 11 18 -
Cory Joseph 19 2-7 0-2 3-3 0 0 0 0 7 0 -
Dewayne Dedmon 11 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 1 -
Justin James 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Yogi Ferrell 2 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Kyle Guy 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Wenyen Gabriel 2 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Caleb Swanigan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter