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2020-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% -
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% -
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (98-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 37 9-21 3-11 7-8 3 1 3 0 28 14 -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 8-21 2-6 0-1 13 3 2 0 18 15 -
Markelle Fultz * 30 6-13 0-0 3-4 6 6 1 0 15 15 -
Khem Birch * 29 2-4 0-0 2-3 11 1 0 1 6 15 -
Wes Iwundu * 27 1-7 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 4 2 -
Terrence Ross 32 6-16 3-12 3-4 2 0 3 0 18 7 -
Josh Magette 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 3 -
Amile Jefferson 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 7 -
Mo Bamba 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 6 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 36 7-15 4-8 6-6 3 5 3 0 24 20 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 34 8-13 3-7 3-4 9 0 0 1 22 19 -
Ricky Rubio * 34 2-9 0-1 7-9 7 10 3 1 11 23 -
Dario Saric * 20 3-6 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 9 6 -
Aron Baynes * 17 2-4 0-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 8 10 -
Deandre Ayton 30 6-16 0-0 1-1 9 1 0 3 13 10 -
Mikal Bridges 30 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 4 9 -
Elie Okobo 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 3 -
Cameron Johnson 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
Tyler Johnson 11 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -

* = starter