Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (114-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 33 | 9-22 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 32 | 14-25 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jared Dudley | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kostas Antetokounmpo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 32 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 8-13 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 31 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 10 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Antonius Cleveland | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter