Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (134-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 11-18 | 1-1 | 13-14 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 37 | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 28 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 25 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Derrick White | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 33 | 11-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 25 | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 8-20 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 24 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 21 | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 17 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter