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2020-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% -
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% -
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% -
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -11 (105-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 33 10-18 1-4 6-6 14 3 1 2 27 - -
T.J. Warren * 29 8-15 1-3 0-2 5 2 2 0 17 - -
T.J. McConnell * 25 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 4 1 0 4 - -
JaKarr Sampson * 20 4-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 8 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 30 8-9 2-3 1-2 3 8 0 0 19 - -
Justin Holiday 26 3-10 3-7 0-0 1 6 1 0 9 - -
Edmond Sumner 22 3-5 2-4 2-2 5 4 1 0 10 - -
Doug McDermott 21 7-11 2-6 0-0 4 2 1 1 16 - -
Goga Bitadze 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 4 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 14-23 8-13 7-7 6 1 1 0 43 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 37 5-11 1-6 2-2 3 3 1 1 13 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 33 4-9 3-6 0-0 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Kris Dunn * 29 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford * 27 0-2 0-0 2-4 2 1 2 1 2 - -
Coby White 28 8-17 5-9 2-3 5 1 1 0 23 - -
Thaddeus Young 24 3-8 0-2 0-0 9 1 1 0 6 - -
Chandler Hutchison 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Luke Kornet 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -

* = starter