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2020-01-11

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% -
Efficiency 69.6% 30.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% -
Log Adjusted 69.4% 30.6% -
Points Off/Def 59.5% 40.5% -

Actual: New York Knicks -12 (111-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 11-18 5-9 1-2 6 9 1 0 28 - -
Lonzo Ball * 38 6-14 3-7 0-0 6 11 1 1 15 - -
Josh Hart * 36 5-10 3-7 0-0 10 3 0 0 13 - -
JJ Redick * 23 4-10 2-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Derrick Favors * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 29 7-8 0-0 4-9 10 1 1 2 18 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 23 3-8 3-7 0-0 1 4 0 0 9 - -
E'Twaun Moore 17 5-9 1-2 0-0 2 4 1 2 11 - -
Nicolo Melli 13 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 7 - -
Jahlil Okafor 7 3-3 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 8 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 32 5-15 1-4 5-8 9 2 2 0 16 - -
Elfrid Payton * 32 7-17 0-3 1-1 6 7 5 0 15 - -
Bobby Portis * 29 6-11 0-2 1-2 5 4 0 0 13 - -
Reggie Bullock * 27 6-11 2-6 1-2 2 2 3 0 15 - -
Taj Gibson * 25 8-8 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 1 19 - -
Mitchell Robinson 22 6-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 12 - -
Damyean Dotson 17 3-8 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Kevin Knox II 16 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Frank Ntilikina 15 2-7 0-1 3-3 3 4 1 0 7 - -
Wayne Ellington 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Allonzo Trier 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kadeem Allen 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter