Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +4 (117-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 12-18 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 28 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 23 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 4-8 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Joe Harris * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 31 | 8-17 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Rodions Kurucs * | 23 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 23 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 20 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dzanan Musa | 11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Anderson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter