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2020-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% -
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% -
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Log Adjusted 34.0% 66.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +10 (111-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Reddish * 35 4-8 0-1 1-3 8 3 0 2 9 - -
Trae Young * 31 7-20 0-7 5-8 4 7 2 0 19 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 30 5-9 1-3 2-3 5 2 2 0 13 - -
John Collins * 27 6-12 1-2 2-5 15 1 0 4 15 - -
Kevin Huerter * 25 6-11 3-5 1-1 3 2 0 1 16 - -
Alex Len 24 5-9 0-0 0-2 14 0 0 1 10 - -
Brandon Goodwin 23 6-13 2-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 14 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 17 2-3 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Allen Crabbe 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Vince Carter 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan McRae * 36 10-26 4-5 5-7 8 6 1 0 29 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 27 5-11 0-2 2-3 8 1 2 0 12 - -
Gary Payton II * 22 5-6 1-1 0-1 5 2 1 0 11 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 22 2-16 0-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Isaac Bonga * 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 3 2 1 3 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 34 7-12 1-1 3-4 10 1 2 0 18 - -
Ish Smith 27 4-15 0-5 2-4 6 9 2 0 10 - -
Davis Bertans 21 5-12 3-8 1-1 7 1 0 0 14 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 20 2-8 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 0 6 - -
Admiral Schofield 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter