Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +21 (113-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 14-26 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 26 | 5-17 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 26 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 11 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michael Frazier | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 30 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 27 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 27 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 12 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Patton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter