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2020-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% -
Log Adjusted 56.1% 43.9% -
Points Off/Def 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +14 (116-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 29 6-18 3-10 5-6 4 8 0 0 20 - -
Kent Bazemore * 29 0-8 0-4 2-4 3 0 2 0 2 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 27 6-12 1-1 2-3 14 0 0 2 15 - -
CJ McCollum * 24 6-12 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 15 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 23 3-10 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 24 4-9 3-6 2-2 2 1 3 0 13 - -
Anthony Tolliver 21 0-5 0-4 1-2 4 2 0 2 1 - -
Anfernee Simons 19 3-6 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Jaylen Hoard 16 3-7 0-1 2-3 4 0 2 0 8 - -
Nassir Little 12 3-6 1-3 1-4 1 1 0 1 8 - -
Mario Hezonja 9 1-3 0-0 3-3 4 2 1 0 5 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Culver * 30 6-13 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 12 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 25 9-15 2-4 3-6 3 8 0 0 23 - -
Robert Covington * 24 6-12 2-6 1-2 4 0 2 2 15 - -
Shabazz Napier * 20 2-5 1-3 4-4 2 4 0 0 9 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 16 5-10 2-4 0-0 10 0 2 1 12 - -
Josh Okogie 25 2-2 2-2 2-2 3 2 2 2 8 - -
Jeff Teague 24 4-8 1-2 3-3 3 6 0 1 12 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 24 5-9 1-4 0-2 8 1 1 1 11 - -
Naz Reid 16 0-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 - -
Treveon Graham 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Noah Vonleh 12 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Jordan Bell 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter