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2020-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 61.8% 38.2% -2.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% -
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +11 (109-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 35 4-13 1-5 6-6 10 4 2 1 15 19 -
Gordon Hayward * 35 4-11 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 1 -
Jaylen Brown * 33 2-12 2-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 2 -
Kemba Walker * 32 10-20 5-11 1-1 2 3 1 0 26 12 -
Daniel Theis * 26 4-6 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 9 11 -
Marcus Smart 30 9-14 5-7 1-1 1 1 3 0 24 15 -
Semi Ojeleye 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Enes Kanter 17 4-7 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 0 8 14 -
Grant Williams 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 38 9-15 0-0 1-4 9 3 1 0 19 17 -
Tobias Harris * 34 7-17 2-5 0-0 7 3 2 0 16 11 -
Josh Richardson * 33 9-16 1-5 10-10 3 7 0 0 29 23 -
Al Horford * 32 7-11 2-3 1-3 8 6 1 2 17 23 -
Mike Scott * 25 3-8 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 4 -
Matisse Thybulle 18 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 3 -
James Ennis III 16 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 6 5 -
Furkan Korkmaz 14 3-6 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 9 6 -
Trey Burke 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 -
Norvel Pelle 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 6 10 -

* = starter