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2020-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% -
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% -
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (112-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 45 15-20 0-1 5-6 14 3 1 3 35 - -
Darius Garland * 41 8-14 2-4 2-2 2 7 0 0 20 - -
Cedi Osman * 40 5-9 0-2 1-4 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Collin Sexton * 39 9-19 1-2 0-0 6 1 2 2 19 - -
Kevin Love * 37 6-14 1-5 4-6 9 3 1 0 17 - -
Brandon Knight 24 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 14 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 3 0 4 - -
Ante Zizic 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 49 13-24 0-0 2-5 23 1 1 1 28 - -
Bruce Brown * 37 6-14 1-1 4-6 4 8 4 2 17 - -
Tony Snell * 35 5-10 1-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 11 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 29 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 19 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 8 - -
Derrick Rose 35 13-24 0-2 1-1 7 5 0 0 27 - -
Thon Maker 25 1-5 0-2 1-2 8 1 1 4 3 - -
Langston Galloway 18 4-8 1-4 0-0 0 1 2 0 9 - -
Christian Wood 14 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter