Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -9 (98-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 10-21 | 1-7 | 9-13 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 27 | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 24 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 32 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 29 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Ky Bowman * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 26 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 17 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
* = starter