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2020-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 63.2% 36.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Log Adjusted 34.2% 65.8% -
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +15 (123-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 13-24 3-7 3-4 5 6 2 0 32 - -
Thaddeus Young * 34 7-16 3-7 1-2 6 2 3 0 18 - -
Kris Dunn * 30 6-11 3-6 0-0 4 7 5 0 15 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 4-13 2-8 4-5 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 25 2-6 1-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Coby White 32 5-10 0-2 0-2 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Daniel Gafford 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 - -
Chandler Hutchison 13 0-4 0-0 3-6 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Luke Kornet 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Shaquille Harrison 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Denzel Valentine 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 7-19 4-11 11-12 8 11 0 2 29 - -
Lonzo Ball * 37 4-11 0-5 3-4 5 7 1 1 11 - -
JJ Redick * 34 7-14 6-12 4-4 4 4 1 0 24 - -
Josh Hart * 33 4-8 2-5 3-4 6 1 3 0 13 - -
Derrick Favors * 24 5-6 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 12 - -
Jaxson Hayes 23 7-10 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 4 14 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 19 4-8 2-5 1-3 4 6 0 0 11 - -
E'Twaun Moore 18 2-7 1-4 1-2 1 2 2 0 6 - -
Nicolo Melli 9 1-4 0-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Frank Jackson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter