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2020-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 43.1% 56.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.4% 36.6% -
Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.6% 20.4% -
Log Adjusted 79.6% 20.4% -
Points Off/Def 69.7% 30.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -7 (115-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 39 9-34 4-20 19-23 10 10 2 3 41 - -
Clint Capela * 36 9-14 0-0 4-4 22 0 2 2 22 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 36 2-6 0-2 0-2 2 2 1 1 4 - -
P.J. Tucker * 33 3-7 0-3 2-2 17 2 2 1 8 - -
Eric Gordon * 30 5-14 3-9 4-7 1 3 0 0 17 - -
Ben McLemore 32 6-9 6-9 0-0 3 1 0 0 18 - -
Austin Rivers 27 4-7 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 4 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 38 11-30 4-11 16-18 13 10 0 1 42 - -
Kevin Huerter * 37 4-10 1-3 2-2 6 4 1 0 11 - -
John Collins * 32 7-15 1-3 2-2 14 0 1 4 17 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 25 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Cam Reddish * 18 3-11 1-7 0-0 2 0 1 1 7 - -
Allen Crabbe 24 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Alex Len 23 5-10 0-2 4-5 10 0 0 1 14 - -
Brandon Goodwin 13 3-7 2-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Vince Carter 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 8 1-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Paul Watson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter