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2020-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 (30.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% -
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +34 (123-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaac Bonga * 32 3-5 0-2 0-1 4 2 1 1 6 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 23 2-8 2-4 1-3 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Gary Payton II * 21 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 3 3 1 4 - -
Jordan McRae * 20 4-11 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 1 9 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Admiral Schofield 35 8-13 2-6 0-0 6 2 0 0 18 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 35 6-8 0-0 4-6 5 3 0 2 16 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 35 6-17 1-5 5-7 11 5 2 0 18 - -
Ish Smith 25 4-13 1-4 0-0 3 4 1 0 9 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Markelle Fultz * 30 3-9 0-0 0-0 7 7 4 0 6 - -
Khem Birch * 28 2-3 0-0 7-9 9 2 3 1 11 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 27 12-20 2-6 3-4 9 2 2 1 29 - -
Aaron Gordon * 24 4-9 0-2 2-2 7 2 1 0 10 - -
Evan Fournier * 23 7-10 4-7 1-1 2 5 2 0 19 - -
Terrence Ross 25 3-10 1-7 2-2 2 0 1 0 9 - -
D.J. Augustin 22 3-9 2-3 10-13 2 3 0 0 18 - -
Wes Iwundu 19 3-7 0-0 1-1 7 2 1 0 7 - -
Mo Bamba 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 4 - -
Melvin Frazier Jr. 6 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 0 1 1 6 - -
Josh Magette 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Amile Jefferson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
BJ Johnson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter