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2020-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 60.0% 40.0% -
Bradley-Terry 57.4% 42.6% -
Margin 63.6% 36.4% -3.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% -
Efficiency 87.4% 12.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% -
Log Adjusted 80.6% 19.4% -
Points Off/Def 69.2% 30.8% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -2 (110-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick McCaw * 42 6-10 1-3 0-0 5 11 1 0 13 - -
Kyle Lowry * 42 4-13 2-6 5-8 2 9 2 1 15 - -
Serge Ibaka * 39 10-19 1-1 2-5 11 2 0 2 23 - -
Terence Davis * 37 8-16 4-8 3-3 11 5 1 0 23 - -
OG Anunoby * 36 8-13 3-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 19 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 22 2-4 0-1 4-4 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Chris Boucher 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 2 3 - -
Matt Thomas 13 3-9 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Oshae Brissett 9 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Stanley Johnson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 45 9-24 5-14 4-5 0 3 3 0 27 - -
Devonte' Graham * 41 3-15 3-9 2-2 5 6 1 0 11 - -
P.J. Washington * 40 4-7 0-1 4-5 12 6 0 2 12 - -
Miles Bridges * 35 10-15 6-9 0-0 9 1 1 1 26 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 31 2-4 0-0 2-4 7 3 0 2 6 - -
Dwayne Bacon 25 3-4 1-1 0-1 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Malik Monk 24 3-8 0-2 1-3 5 7 0 1 7 - -
Cody Zeller 20 4-9 0-1 6-6 8 2 0 0 14 - -

* = starter