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2020-01-09

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 43.5% 56.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - โœ—
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 โœ— (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 21.5% 78.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 27.0% 73.0% - โœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -15 (114-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 33 10-17 0-1 11-11 6 4 1 0 31 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 31 5-11 1-5 2-3 6 4 0 2 13 - -
Dejounte Murray * 27 5-9 0-0 0-0 7 4 2 0 10 - -
Bryn Forbes * 26 5-10 4-9 1-1 3 6 2 0 15 - -
Trey Lyles * 17 4-4 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 1 9 - -
Patty Mills 21 3-7 1-4 2-2 0 4 1 0 9 - -
Rudy Gay 21 2-8 0-4 0-0 7 0 1 0 4 - -
Derrick White 20 5-6 0-0 5-5 3 1 0 2 15 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 19 7-11 2-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Jakob Poeltl 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 1 2 - -
Drew Eubanks 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Marco Belinelli 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
DeMarre Carroll 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 31 5-16 0-5 4-4 6 3 1 0 14 - -
Gordon Hayward * 29 7-14 4-7 0-0 3 3 1 1 18 - -
Jaylen Brown * 28 5-14 1-6 5-6 3 0 2 0 16 - -
Daniel Theis * 20 5-10 2-4 3-3 5 1 0 1 15 - -
Kemba Walker * 17 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 6 - -
Marcus Smart 24 3-10 2-7 4-4 0 5 1 0 12 - -
Brad Wanamaker 20 2-4 1-1 4-4 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Grant Williams 18 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 3 1 0 3 - -
Enes Kanter 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Tacko Fall 10 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Javonte Green 9 1-3 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Carsen Edwards 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Semi Ojeleye 5 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -

* = starter