Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✗ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -15 (114-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 25 | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 26 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 17 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 21 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Derrick White | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 19 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 29 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 28 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 20 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Marcus Smart | 24 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Grant Williams | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Tacko Fall | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Javonte Green | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter