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2020-01-08

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 (27.9 off)
Pythagorean 30.2% 69.8% -
Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% -
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% -
Points Off/Def 18.0% 82.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +30 (117-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 31 5-16 1-4 4-6 10 2 0 2 15 - -
RJ Barrett * 30 9-19 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 19 - -
Elfrid Payton * 29 6-9 0-0 0-0 9 4 2 1 12 - -
Reggie Bullock * 26 3-9 1-5 0-0 0 2 2 0 7 - -
Taj Gibson * 19 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 6 - -
Mitchell Robinson 25 3-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 3 0 8 - -
Kevin Knox II 19 1-7 0-2 0-4 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Wayne Ellington 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 - -
Frank Ntilikina 13 2-5 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Allonzo Trier 12 2-7 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Bobby Portis 6 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Damyean Dotson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Kadeem Allen 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 31 9-19 6-12 7-7 5 5 2 1 31 - -
Anthony Davis * 28 2-8 0-1 1-2 6 5 3 2 5 - -
Danny Green * 25 4-8 2-4 1-2 5 3 1 0 11 - -
Avery Bradley * 24 5-9 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 12 - -
JaVale McGee * 14 2-4 0-1 2-2 7 0 2 2 6 - -
Dwight Howard 25 3-3 1-1 1-2 13 0 1 5 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 23 3-6 0-2 2-2 3 10 1 0 8 - -
Kyle Kuzma 20 6-11 2-6 2-2 6 1 0 0 16 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 18 5-7 3-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 15 - -
Alex Caruso 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Troy Daniels 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Quinn Cook 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Jared Dudley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter