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2020-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 21.9% 78.1% +7.0 (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% -
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -11 (103-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nemanja Bjelica * 38 7-17 3-8 2-4 7 1 3 0 19 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 9-21 1-6 8-8 4 6 1 1 27 - -
Harrison Barnes * 27 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Buddy Hield * 24 5-11 4-7 2-2 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Harry Giles III * 16 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 8 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 31 3-7 1-4 5-6 10 1 0 0 12 - -
Trevor Ariza 30 3-8 3-5 6-6 7 2 2 0 15 - -
Cory Joseph 29 4-7 2-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 10 - -
Justin James 6 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 39 12-21 2-6 8-8 4 7 1 0 34 - -
Deandre Ayton * 37 10-14 0-0 1-1 9 2 0 1 21 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 36 5-11 3-8 4-5 6 1 0 1 17 - -
Ricky Rubio * 35 2-6 1-3 3-4 5 9 1 0 8 - -
Aron Baynes * 22 2-7 1-5 0-0 7 0 0 0 5 - -
Dario Saric 17 2-6 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Mikal Bridges 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Elie Okobo 12 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Cameron Johnson 11 0-4 0-2 2-4 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Tyler Johnson 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 - -

* = starter