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2020-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Log Adjusted 38.7% 61.3% -
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (119-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 33 6-13 3-8 0-0 4 2 0 1 15 - -
Robert Covington * 31 6-10 4-7 1-1 6 2 1 0 17 - -
Jarrett Culver * 28 8-11 3-5 5-7 5 1 2 0 24 - -
Shabazz Napier * 24 2-10 1-7 1-1 3 4 1 0 6 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 23 4-10 1-6 2-3 2 4 1 0 11 - -
Jeff Teague 28 7-14 2-4 2-2 0 6 2 0 18 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 16 1-5 0-3 1-2 5 2 1 0 3 - -
Josh Okogie 14 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Kelan Martin 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Noah Vonleh 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 4 - -
Naz Reid 10 3-6 1-3 3-3 5 1 0 0 10 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 31 11-20 2-4 4-4 3 0 1 0 28 - -
Ja Morant * 31 12-18 0-1 1-2 4 7 1 0 25 - -
Jae Crowder * 30 4-6 1-2 5-5 8 3 5 0 14 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 30 7-15 4-10 3-4 7 2 1 3 21 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 1-6 0-2 2-2 6 2 1 1 4 - -
De'Anthony Melton 21 2-5 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 6 - -
Solomon Hill 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 7 3 1 0 5 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 1 6 - -
Tyus Jones 16 3-7 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 6 - -
Kyle Anderson 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Grayson Allen 6 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter