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2020-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 50.6% 49.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% -
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -2 (99-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hassan Whiteside * 36 7-13 0-0 0-1 16 4 0 7 14 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 5-11 4-7 6-6 4 9 0 2 20 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 35 10-17 5-8 3-3 7 1 2 0 28 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 5-19 0-6 0-1 5 6 1 0 10 - -
Kent Bazemore * 25 3-10 1-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 7 - -
Anfernee Simons 29 4-10 2-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 2 2 - -
Mario Hezonja 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Anthony Tolliver 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 4 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 38 7-23 4-16 6-7 4 10 0 1 24 - -
Patrick McCaw * 35 2-8 0-1 2-2 4 3 3 0 6 - -
Serge Ibaka * 32 7-12 2-3 1-2 11 2 0 0 17 - -
OG Anunoby * 29 3-9 2-4 0-0 6 0 0 1 8 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * 25 4-13 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 8 - -
Oshae Brissett 22 5-9 2-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 12 - -
Stanley Johnson 17 1-7 1-4 1-2 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Chris Boucher 15 4-7 2-3 2-4 9 0 0 3 12 - -
Matt Thomas 14 2-6 2-6 2-2 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Terence Davis 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -

* = starter