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2020-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -2 (113-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 38 8-12 0-0 7-9 20 5 1 2 23 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 34 4-12 4-10 0-0 1 5 1 0 12 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 33 6-9 0-1 3-4 2 0 3 0 15 - -
Tony Snell * 30 7-10 4-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Bruce Brown * 28 3-11 0-1 3-3 2 7 2 1 9 - -
Derrick Rose 30 9-21 2-5 4-4 3 7 1 0 24 - -
Langston Galloway 19 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Christian Wood 13 2-7 1-4 1-1 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Thon Maker 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cedi Osman * 36 7-16 2-7 1-1 1 2 1 0 17 - -
Kevin Love * 36 12-15 4-6 2-2 9 4 1 0 30 - -
Darius Garland * 35 4-12 2-5 4-4 4 3 2 0 14 - -
Collin Sexton * 34 7-19 1-3 5-6 2 2 1 0 20 - -
Tristan Thompson * 31 3-7 0-0 2-2 15 4 0 2 8 - -
Brandon Knight 24 5-9 3-7 0-0 2 5 0 1 13 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 9 1 0 3 - -
Ante Zizic 16 2-3 0-0 1-1 9 0 1 1 5 - -
Dean Wade 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter