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2020-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 70.2% 29.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 โœ— (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings +13 (111-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Paschall * 30 5-9 0-3 2-4 4 1 1 0 12 - -
Damion Lee * 29 3-11 1-6 1-2 5 2 2 0 8 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 26 4-8 0-0 0-0 9 5 2 1 8 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 26 7-13 1-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 16 - -
Ky Bowman * 22 3-10 1-3 1-2 2 2 3 0 8 - -
Alec Burks 25 2-10 0-4 6-6 6 3 0 1 10 - -
Omari Spellman 22 4-8 0-2 5-6 6 2 2 0 13 - -
Jacob Evans 18 1-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 1 4 - -
Jordan Poole 16 2-4 1-3 4-4 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Marquese Chriss 14 2-7 1-1 3-4 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Alen Smailagic 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 35 7-17 4-10 3-5 2 5 1 0 21 - -
Harrison Barnes * 33 6-12 3-5 3-3 4 2 1 0 18 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 30 7-14 0-1 7-8 4 7 1 1 21 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 27 2-4 2-4 2-2 10 1 0 0 8 - -
Richaun Holmes * 20 3-5 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 2 7 - -
Trevor Ariza 32 7-9 4-6 0-2 6 3 2 0 18 - -
Cory Joseph 22 4-8 2-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 12 - -
Harry Giles III 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 0 4 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Caleb Swanigan 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Yogi Ferrell 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin James 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter