Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +13 (111-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Paschall * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 26 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - | |
| Ky Bowman * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 25 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 35 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 32 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 22 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Caleb Swanigan | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Justin James | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter