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2020-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 16.7% 83.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% -
Margin 64.1% 35.9% -3.2 (25.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.2% 39.8% -
Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Log Adjusted 81.1% 18.9% -
Points Off/Def 70.2% 29.8% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +22 (126-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 10-22 0-5 4-4 12 8 3 1 24 - -
Khris Middleton * 29 5-16 1-7 4-4 5 4 0 0 15 - -
Wesley Matthews * 28 4-7 4-6 0-0 1 2 1 1 12 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 26 2-7 2-5 2-2 1 5 0 1 8 - -
Brook Lopez * 22 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 8 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 26 6-12 2-6 2-3 4 1 1 0 16 - -
George Hill 21 6-11 3-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 15 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Robin Lopez 14 1-6 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 - -
Kyle Korver 13 0-4 0-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 - -
D.J. Wilson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sterling Brown 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 32 11-15 1-1 2-2 3 7 0 0 25 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 32 5-10 2-3 5-5 4 3 0 1 17 - -
Bryn Forbes * 25 2-6 1-4 1-1 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Dejounte Murray * 25 5-11 3-4 0-0 9 4 1 0 13 - -
Trey Lyles * 19 2-11 2-6 0-0 12 1 1 0 6 - -
Rudy Gay 24 6-10 2-2 3-4 8 1 0 0 17 - -
Patty Mills 22 6-10 6-10 3-3 0 0 1 0 21 - -
Derrick White 20 3-6 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 9 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 19 3-6 1-2 1-2 7 2 0 0 8 - -
Jakob Poeltl 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Chimezie Metu 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
DeMarre Carroll 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter