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2020-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% -
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% -
Log Adjusted 18.9% 81.1% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (118-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 10-23 0-5 0-0 5 7 3 2 20 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 35 10-18 4-10 2-2 9 0 1 0 26 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 34 3-12 1-5 4-4 5 14 1 0 11 - -
Kris Dunn * 23 3-9 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 17 2-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 27 5-10 1-1 0-0 9 1 3 1 11 - -
Daniel Gafford 24 6-6 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 2 13 - -
Coby White 21 6-10 3-5 0-1 0 1 0 0 15 - -
Shaquille Harrison 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Chandler Hutchison 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dorian Finney-Smith * 36 4-12 3-7 0-0 5 2 1 0 11 - -
Luka Doncic * 34 14-24 5-10 5-9 11 10 0 1 38 - -
Dwight Powell * 30 6-6 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 0 16 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 21 5-8 3-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 15 - -
J.J. Barea * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Maxi Kleber 27 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 7 - -
Delon Wright 24 3-3 2-2 1-2 6 3 0 2 9 - -
Seth Curry 20 2-8 0-6 0-0 2 3 0 1 4 - -
Justin Jackson 15 4-11 1-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Jalen Brunson 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 1 5 - -

* = starter